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Howard Sumner

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Displaying blog entries 11-20 of 149

IS HOUSING CHEAPER NOW THAN 30 YEARS AGO ?

by Howard Sumner

Thought to ponder-----

October of 1981 the 30 year mortgage topped at 18.45%, the consumer price index stood at 93.4 for the basket of goods

Fast forward to today

consumer price index stands at 226.72 or an increase of 243%,  the 30 year mortgage stands at 3.96% or a drop of 78.54%

NOW LETS TRANSLATE INTO A PROPERTY PURCHASE IN YELLOWSTONE COUNTY

1981 THE AVERAGE PROPERTY THROUGH MLS SOLD FOR $63,337 @18.45% FOR 30 YEARS  $977.83 PRINCIPAL AND INTEREST

2011 THE AVERAGE PROPERTY THROUGH MLS SOLD FOR $190,089 @3.96% FOR 30 YEARS  $917.39 PRINCIPAL AND INTEREST

NOW LETS TRANSLATE INTO A PROPERTY PURCHASE IN  THE UNITED SATES

1981 THE AVERAGE HOME IN THE U.S SOLD FOR $83,700 @18.45% FOR 30 YEARS  $1292.21 PRINCIPAL AND INTEREST 

2011 THE AVERAGE HOME IN THE U.S SOLD FOR  $257,600 @3.96% FOR 30 YEARS  $1223.89 PRINCIPAL AND INTEREST

SO THE THOUGHT TO PONDER ………

DO YOU BELIEVE THE INTEREST RATE OR PRICING ON HOUSES WILL FALL FURTHER AND MAKE HOUSING LESS COSTLY …..OR …….. ARE WE AT THE LOW POINT IN THE CYCLE, SO  WHETHER IT IS INTEREST RATES OR THE PRICE OF HOUSE THE COSTS WILL GO UP ?

IS THIS A HISTORIC TIME TO BUY PROPERTY?

New Pricing!

by Howard Sumner

549 Cherry Hills Road

NEW PRICE  $259,549

Don't miss out on this brand new home, located near Lake Hills Golf Course, 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 3 car attached garage, large yard, storage space & room to expand!  Call  Howard today to view this beautiful home 245-6890

YEAR END REVIEW 2011

by Howard Sumner

2011 END OF THE YEAR REPORT

THE GOOD, THE BAD, THE DIRECTION

MY FIRST COMMENT ABOUT 2011 IS, I AM GLAD IT IS IN TH REAR VIEW MIRROR. MY BELIEF IS 2011 GOES INTO THE RECORD BOOKS AS THE LOW POINT IN REAL ESTATE UNIT SALES AND MOST PROBABLY PRICING IN THIS REAL CYCLE IN YELLOWSTONE COUNTY. THAT BEING SAID THAT DOES NOT MEAN A BOUNCE IN 2012. WHAT IT MEANS IS, MOST PROBABLY, STABILITY WITH A BIAS TOWARDS AN UPWARD MOVEMENT. THE MOST DIFFICULT ASPECT OF 2011 WAS THE FINANCING ARENA, ALTHOUGH RATES ARE INCREDIBLE, THE HOOPS TO JUMP THROUGH TO OBTAIN FINANCING ARE NOT INSIGNIFICANT AND LEAD TO DISCOURAGEMENT OF PURCHASERS DURING THE PROCESS. 2011 WAS THE HIGHEST RATE OF FAILED TRANSACTION THAT I HAVE EXPERIENCED IN MY THIRTY YEARS IN THE BUSINESS.  I HOPE 2012 SLOWS THE CHANGES WITHIN LENDING PRACTICES TO GIVE MORE STABILITY AND CONFIDENCE TO PURCHASERS.

FIRST THE POSITIVES OF 2011. THERE ARE ACTUALLY THREE MAJOR POSITIVES THAT YELLOWSTONE COUNTY ENDED 2011 WITH, ONE IS INVENTORY 20% BELOW 2010 AT THE END OF THE YEAR, THE PENDING SALES BEING UP 17% AS COMPARED WITH 2010 AND LAST WOULD BE THE SMALL DECLINE IN UNIT SALES COMPARED TO 2010.                                                                                                                          WE CONTINUED TO SEE NEW HOME CONSTRUCTION DECLINE AND 18% DECLINE COMPARED TO 2010 AND A FALL OF 54% SINCE 2007. WHILE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT FOR MY FRIENDS IN THE BUILDING OF HOMES, IN THE LONG RUN THE SURVIVORS WILL BE HEALTHIER AND MORE  PROFITABLE.                                                                                                                                           LAST THE RENTAL MARKET SHOWS THAT GROWTH IS OCCURRING WITH YELLOWSTONE COUNTY WITH LESS UNITS AVAILABLE AND POSITIVE GROWTH IN RENTAL RATES. AS THE RENTAL MARKET CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE CONFIDENCE OF PURCHASERS SINCE AT THIS TIME THERE IS JUST $86 DOLLARS DIFFERENCE IN THE MONTH COST TO RENT THE MEDIAN HOUSE FOR RENT AS COMPARED TO PURCHASING THE MEDIAN PRICED HOUSE PAYMENT WITH TAXES AND INSURANCE. THAT DIFFERENCE IN 2008 WAS $391.    

FINALLY I WANT TO THANK ALL MY GREAT CUSTOMERS FOR ALLOWING ME TO HELP THEM ACHIEVE THEIR REAL ESTATE GOALS IN 2011, ALTHOUGH A DIFFICULT, WITHOUT LOYAL CUSTOMERS IT WOULD HAVE BEEN A MORE DIFFICULT YEAR.      

 

Market update at glance

 

Year

Percentage Increase

Yellowstone County 

12/31/2011

 

2010

2011

or -Decrease

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential  Closed Sales Units

 

1721

1675

 

-3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential  Pending Sales Units

 

149

175

 

17%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential  Active Property For Sale

827

664

 

-20%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average sales price Single family Home

$212,730

$208,121

 

-2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Square feet Single family Home

2371

2372

 

0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Median sales price Single family Home

$189,250

$184,900

 

-2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Median Square feet Single family Home

2242

2222

 

-1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Days on Market Till Offer Received

 

 

 

 

Single Family Home

 

 

65

71

 

9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Absorption rate -

TIME IN DAYS

 

 

 

 

Time it would take for all existing

 

 

186

 

 

properties to sell with no new inventory

 

 

 

 

coming into the market place - residential

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SINGLE FAMILY PERMITS MONTH

11

11

 

0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SINGLE FAMILY PERMITS YEAR

240

197

 

-18%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average # Rentals Advertised Sundays

345

335

 

-3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Asking Price  Rental Home

$1,041

$1,061

 

2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Asking Price Rental Apartment

$645

$657

 

2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Open House Sunday, January 8, 2012

by Howard Sumner

Open 1-3 PM

549 Cherry Hills Road

Be the first family to own this energy efficient & spacious home!  Over 2,800 s. ft. with 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 3 car garage, lower level ready for your personal touch.  Located near Lake Hills Golf Course in an area of new homes!  Come see it now!

Market up date at glance november 2011

by Howard Sumner

The market positives inventory down and number of sales  is closing the gap on 2010, prices are down about 3% year over year same time period.My belief is 2011 will go down as the low point in the market place this cycle and by the end of the 1st quarter we should be seeing year overyear increase in sales and at the minimum stable prices. this should help give both buyers and sellers confidence which will improve market conditions from both perspectives.

Market update at glance

 

Year 

Percentage Increase 

Yellowstone County  

11/30/2011

 

2010

2011

or -Decrease

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential  Closed Sales Units

 

1601

1542

 

-4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential  Pending Sales Units

 

193

198

 

3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residential  Active Property For Sale

870

766

 

-12%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average sales price Single family Home

$212,424

$206,330

 

-3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Square feet Single family Home

2361

2356

 

0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Median sales price Single family Home 

$188,900

$183,700

 

-3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Median Square feet Single family Home 

2226

2211

 

-1%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Days on Market Till Offer Received

 

 

 

 

Single Family Home 

 

 

65

71

 

9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Absorption rate - 

TIME IN DAYS

 

 

 

 

Time it would take for all existing

 

 

190

 

 

properties to sell with no new inventory 

 

 

 

 

coming into the market place - residential 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SINGLE FAMILY PERMITS MONTH 

16

20

 

25%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SINGLE FAMILY PERMITS YEAR 

229

186

 

-19%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average # Rentals Advertised Sundays

345

329

 

-5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Asking Price  Rental Home

$1,041

$1,065

 

2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Asking Price Rental Apartment

$645

$658

 

2%

Owning cheaper than rent?

by Howard Sumner

 

ONLY ONE OTHER TIME IN THE PAST THIRTY YEARS HAVE I SEEN WHERE IT IS CHEAPER TO OWN THAN RENT IN YELLOWSTONE COUNTY. THAT TIME THE LATE 1980'S, CAUSED BY THE RECESSION AND FORECLOSURES OF THAT PERIOD OF TIME. YELLOWSTONE COUNTY WAS LIKE LAS VEGAS IS NOW WITH OVER 600 FHA REPOS AND 100 VA REPOS ADVERTISED IN THE PAPER EVERY SUNDAY. HOME PRICES HAD FALLEN FROM FORECLOSURES AND POPULATION DECLINE IN YELLOWSTONE COUNTY AND INTEREST RATE HAD DROPPED FROM 13% ON A 30 YEAR MORTGAGE ALL THE WAY DOWN TO THE REASONABLE 9% RANGE. THIS TIME AROUND WE HAVE SEEN PRICES DECLINE SLIGHTLY AND INTEREST RATES SHARPLY DECLINE FROM 6.38% TO 4.11% FOR A 30 YEAR MORTGAGE. RENTS HAVE MOVED UP AND POPULATION IN YELLOWSTONE COUNTY HAS ALSO INCREASED.  JUST LIKE THE LAST TIME AROUND THERE WILL BE A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY TO MOVE FROM RENTING TO OWNERSHIP THAT WILL PROBABLY BE OPEN FOR 6 TO 12 MONTHS. BELOW IS THE COMPARISONS IN GRAPHS. PLEASE FEEL FREE TO CALL OR E-MAIL WITH QUESTION OR IF YOU NEED HELP BUYING OR SELLING.

 

 

Open House, Sunday, November 13, 2011

by Howard Sumner

 

Open 1-3

Sunday, November 13, 2011

2545 Avalon Road

Located off Poly Drive West of Zimmerman Trail

Life flows easily in this wonderfuly family home!

$214,000

Open House Sunday, October 23, 2011

by Howard Sumner

 

Open 1-3 PM

719 Wyoming Avenue, Laurel

Sun filled rooms, lovingly cared for home!  You will be impressed with this neat & tidy home featuring 2 bedrooms, 1 bath, laundry room, country style kitchen with tile flooring, storage, huge deck, fenced yard, garage and more!  See it today!

Open House Saturday, October 22, 2011

by Howard Sumner

 

Open 1-3

Saturday, October 22, 2011

549 Cherry Hills Road

Directions:  Wicks Lane to St. Andrews, North on St. Andrews to Annandale, West on Annandale to Cherry Hills Road

$269,900

Brand new home built by Specialized Construction and waiting for your family.  3 bedrooms, 2 baths, open living area, custom kitchen, 3 car garage plus room to expand.  Energy saver package

Market update at a glance septemebr 2011

by Howard Sumner
Market update at glance   Year  Percentage Increase 
Yellowstone County   09/30/2011   2010 2011 or -Decrease
               
Residential  Closed Sales Units   1329 1268   -5%
               
Residential  Pending Sales Units   226 242   7%
               
Residential  Active Property For Sale 1006 907   -10%
               
Average sales price Single family Home $212,368 $207,214   -2%
               
Average Square feet Single family Home 2350 2364   1%
               
Median sales price Single family Home  $188,950 $182,900   -3%
               
Median Square feet Single family Home  2214 2208   0%
               
Average Days on Market Till Offer Received        
Single Family Home      62 72   16%
               
Absorption rate -  TIME IN DAYS        
Time it would take for all existing     209    
properties to sell with no new inventory         
coming into the market place - residential         
               
SINGLE FAMILY PERMITS MONTH  15 19   27%
               
SINGLE FAMILY PERMITS YEAR  188 151   -20%
               
Average # Rentals Advertised Sundays 345 321   -7%
               
Average Asking Price  Rental Home $1,041 $1,058   2%
               
Average Asking Price Rental Apartment $645 $650   1%

 

 

Displaying blog entries 11-20 of 149

Contact Information

Photo of Howard Sumner Real Estate
Howard Sumner
Howard Sumner Real Estate
404 North 31st Street Suite 130
Billings MT 59101
406-245-6890
Fax: 1-406-254-2972

Billings Montana Housing Stats and Informations On sales with Market data